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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Ajax had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for an Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 66.58% ( | 17.5% ( | 15.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.07% ( | 28.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.11% ( | 49.89% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( | 8.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.47% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( | 31.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( | 67.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 4-1 @ 4.88% ( 3-2 @ 4.54% ( 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 4-2 @ 2.85% ( 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 5-2 @ 1.43% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 6-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.96% Total : 66.58% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-1 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 15.92% |