/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffeylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Igor Paixao
34'
-
Yankuba Minteh
35'
-
David Hancko
45'+2'
-
Yankuba Minteh
56'
-
Quinten Maduro
62'
-
Igor Paixao
66'
-
Ahmetcan Kaplan
69'
-
Benjamin Tahirovic
76'
Feyenoord vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Farne-slot.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Farne-slot.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Ajax had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for an Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result
Feyenoord
66.58%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
17.5%
▲
(+0.24)
Ajax
15.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
63.29%
▼
(-0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.07%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 2.5
28.93%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 3.5
50.11%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 3.5
49.89%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 4.5
30.84%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 4.5
69.16%
▲
(+1.24)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5
91.87%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
8.13%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
71.47%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
28.53%
▲
(+0.87)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
68.89%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
31.11%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
32.56%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
67.44%
▲
(+0.75)
Score analysis
Feyenoord
66.58%
Draw
17.5%
Ajax
15.92%
Feyenoord
2-1
@
9.3%
▲
(+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 66.58%
2-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 66.58%
Draw
1-1
@
7.41%
▲
(+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.5%
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.5%
Ajax
1-2
@
4.33%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 15.92%
0-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 15.92%
