MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 20:03:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Go Ahead Eagles

Ajax
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Gaaei (24')
Hato (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kuipers (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles

With both clubs getting back to form at the weekend, this could prove to be an entertaining and competitive tussle. However, we feel that Ajax may just edge this contest, aware of the necessity of getting over the line in what feels like one of their most notable remaining matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawGo Ahead Eagles
59.98% (0.207 0.21) 20.23% (-0.151 -0.15) 19.79% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.91% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.56% (0.64299999999999 0.64)35.44% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.53% (0.709 0.71)57.47% (-0.709 -0.71)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (0.253 0.25)11.55% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.52% (0.544 0.54)36.48% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.32599999999999 0.33)31.14% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.379 0.38)67.47% (-0.376 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.98%
    Go Ahead Eagles 19.79%
    Draw 20.23%
AjaxDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.065 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.98%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 19.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles

Ajax
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Go Ahead Eagles
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
Go Ahead Eagles
2-3
Ajax
Edvardsen (44'), Kramer (58')
Brobbey (27'), Tahirovic (45+4'), Rensch (72')
Hlynsson (53'), Medic (55')
Aug 14, 2023 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Baeten (34')
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
Oct 1, 2022 7pm
Feb 27, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
Ajax
Cordoba (18'), Rommens (45+2')
Martina (41')
Berghuis (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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