Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Gaaei (24')
Hato (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kuipers (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
59.98% ( 0.21)	20.23% ( -0.15)	19.79% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.91% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.56% (

0.64)

35.44% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.53% (

0.71)

57.47% (

-0.71)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

0.25)

11.55% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.52% (

0.54)

36.48% (

-0.54)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

0.33)

31.14% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

0.38)

67.47% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Ajax 59.98%

Go Ahead Eagles 19.79%

Draw 20.23%

Ajax	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.98%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.23%	1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 19.79%