Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Go Ahead Eagles
Mar 30, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT De Adelaarshorst
Excelsior
  • Willum Thor Willumsson 41' goal
  • Xander Blomme 56' yellowcard
  • Gerrit Nauber 70' goal
  • Evert Linthorst 81' goal
  • yellowcard Kenzo Goudmijn 56'
  • yellowcard Siem de Moes 70'

Go Ahead Eagles vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2024 7.00pm
Heracles 2 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 7.00pm
Excelsior 1 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result

Go Ahead Eagles 62.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 18.84% ▼ (-0.01)
SBV Excelsior 18.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.28% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 47.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 52.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 28.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 71.57% ▲ (+0.02)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5 90.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 68.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 62.91%
Draw 18.84%
SBV Excelsior 18.25%
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.84%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.25%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Excelsior
Dec 16, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles
  • Oscar Uddenas 83' goal
  • goal <TBD> 38'
  • goal Jamal Amofa 54'
  • yellowcard Philippe Rommens 89'
  • yellowcard Gerrit Nauber 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Excelsior
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Go Ahead Eagles
  • Couhaib Driouech 54' goal
  • Julian Baas 65' goal
  • goal Willum Thor Willumsson 61'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Go Ahead Eagles
Oct 29, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Willum Thor Willumsson 39' goal
  • Bobby Adekanye 41' goal
  • Isac Lidberg 60' goal
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
Excelsior
May 12, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Go Ahead Eagles
  • Nathan Tjoe-A-On 42' yellowcard
  • Luigi Bruins 63' yellowcard
  • Joel Zwarts 65' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Damen 90' yellowcard
  • Mitchell van Rooijen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Bakker 71'
  • yellowcard Julliani Eersteling 72'
  • goal Bas Kuipers 82'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Go Ahead Eagles
Oct 31, 2020 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Jay Idzes 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 52'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
Excelsior
Apr 18, 2020 5.30pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

Form Data

Heracles 2 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 1 PSV
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
FC Twente 3 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen 0 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Excelsior 1 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
AZ 4 - 0 Excelsior
Sittard 5 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 2 Vitesse
Sparta 4 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 0 - 3 FC Twente