Eredivisie Gameweek 27
PEC Zwolle
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax
  • Odysseus Velanas 9' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lam 38' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Vellios 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Krastev 72' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 77' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 12'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 24'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 50'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 84'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 89'

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 5.45pm
Sittard 3 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Lennart Thy

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 3.45pm
Sparta 2 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.03%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result

PEC Zwolle 38.02% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 21.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Ajax 40.01% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.5% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.51% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 30.49% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 48.22% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 3.5 51.78% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 4.5 29.13% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 4.5 70.87% ▲ (+0.84)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 82.96% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 17.04% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 52.8% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 47.2% ▲ (+0.43)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 54.27% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 1.5 45.73% ▲ (+0.87)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 38.02%
Draw 21.97%
Ajax 40.01%
PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.97%
Ajax
1-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 40.01%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Ajax
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
PEC Zwolle
  • Brian Brobbey 35' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 48' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 30'
  • yellowcard Anselmo Garcia McNulty 54'
  • goal Lennart Thy 60'
  • goal Lennart Thy 89'
  • yellowcard Apostolos Vellios 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Ajax
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • Dusan Tadic 30' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 51' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 80' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
Sep 11, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Daishawn Redan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antony 26'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 29'
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 51'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 67'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
Mar 14, 2021 3.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Ajax
  • Dean Huiberts 62' yellowcard
  • goal David Neres 28'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 38'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Ajax
Dec 12, 2020 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 7' goal
  • Quincy Promes 11' goal
  • Antony 35' goal
  • Ryan Gravenberch 90'+2' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Ajax
Apr 5, 2020 1.30pm
Johan Cruijff Arena
PEC Zwolle

Form Data

Sittard 3 - 1 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Volendam
Heerenveen 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 1 - 7 PSV
PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Sparta 2 - 2 Ajax
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 Sittard
Ajax 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Ajax 2 - 0 Utrecht
AZ 2 - 0 Ajax