KNVB Beker | Final

Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Paixao (59')
Minteh (71'), Maduro (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (67'), Hansen (68')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Feyenoord claim a narrow 1-0 win over NEC in Sunday's KNVB Beker final to win the competition for the 14th time in their history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	NEC
72.98% ( 1.07)	15.97% ( -0.47)	11.05% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

0.61)

33.63% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.55% (

0.69)

55.44% (

-0.7)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.03% (

0.37)

7.97% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.87% (

0.94)

28.12% (

-0.95)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.85% (

-0.61)

41.14% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31% (

-0.54)

77.68% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 72.98%

NEC 11.05%

Draw 15.97%

Feyenoord	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.98%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.97%	1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.05%