Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 14, 2024 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Ogawa (47', 53' pen.)
Hoedemakers (27'), Sandler (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lam (10'), Velanas (68')
El Azzouzi (28'), Velanas (36'), Garcia McNulty (38'), Czyborra (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
58.57% ( 1.41)	20.09% ( -0.01)	21.34% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 64.07% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.52% (

-1.8)

32.48% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.88% (

-2.12)

54.12% (

2.12)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99% (

-0.19)

11.01% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.69% (

-0.43)

35.31% (

0.43)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72% (

-2.18)

28% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36% (

-2.86)

63.64% (

2.86)

Score Analysis

NEC 58.57%

PEC Zwolle 21.34%

Draw 20.09%

NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 58.57%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.09%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 21.34%