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Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2024 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome
NEC

Vitesse
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Aaronson (31'), Oroz (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hoedemakers (65'), Hansen (80', 90+1')
Baas (46'), Sano (54'), Hansen (80'), Arts (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 1-4 Sparta
Tuesday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawNEC
36.85% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.59% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)39.56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)38.86% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)61.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)19.97% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)52.14% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 36.85%
    NEC 39.56%
    Draw 23.58%
VitesseDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.85%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Nijmegen

Vitesse
26.2%
Draw
16.7%
NEC
57.1%
42
Head to Head
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1-3
Vitesse
Mattsson (26')
van Rooij (45+2'), Verdonk (53')
Van Ginkel (6'), Oroz (89'), Manhoef (90+4')
Meulensteen (18'), van Ginkel (25'), Hendriks (30'), Hamulic (65'), Kozlowski (69')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 29
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Vitesse
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Bero (25'), Kozlowski (28'), Van Rooij (68' og.), Flamingo (83')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 16
Vitesse
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Nijmegen
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Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 22
Vitesse
4-1
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Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')
Duelund (49')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
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Marquez (39'), van Rooij (44'), Barreto (53')
Frederiksen (16')
Openda (58'), Tronstad (59'), Wittek (66'), Bazoer (68')
> Preview