Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
1 - 4
Sparta

Kozlowski (45+1')
Aaronson (57')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Mito (7'), Clement (19'), Saito (43'), Eerdhuijzen (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-0 Sittard
Saturday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
43.28% ( 0.04)	24.59% ( -0)	32.13% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.02)

44.72% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.91% (

0.02)

67.09% (

-0.02)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

0.03)

20.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

0.04)

53.39% (

-0.04)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.02)

26.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

-0.02)

61.9% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 43.28%

Sparta Rotterdam 32.13%

Draw 24.59%

Vitesse	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.13%