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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 33.21% ( | 24.64% ( | 42.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( | 44.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( | 66.97% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( | 25.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( | 60.94% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( | 54.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.15% |