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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
| 51.65% ( | 23.4% ( | 24.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( | 43.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( | 17.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( | 47.21% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.95% |