/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
-
Dani de Wit
53'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
64'
AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F52%2Fvangelis-pavlidis.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
67.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
17.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Vitesse
14.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
33.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
26.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
73.82%
▲
(+0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
90.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
9.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
69.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
30.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
64.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
35.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
27.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
72.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
67.81%
Draw
17.73%
Vitesse
14.46%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.35%
1-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7%
3-0 @ 7.5%
4-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.17%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 67.81%
2-0 @ 9.35%
1-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7%
3-0 @ 7.5%
4-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.17%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 67.81%
Draw
1-1
@
7.98%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.73%
2-2 @ 4.93%
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.73%
Vitesse
1-2
@
4.1%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 14.46%
0-1 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 14.46%
