Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Kras Stadion

Volendam
0 - 4
AZ

FT(HT: 0-3)

van Bommel (7'), de Wit (22'), Sugawara (30', 76'), Pavlidis (70')
Belic (56'), de Wit (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Volendam
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.6%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 6.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.67%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-0 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
6.41% ( 0.52)	12.99% ( 0.73)	80.6% ( -1.25)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.32% (

-1.43)

35.67% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.26% (

-1.59)

57.74% (

1.59)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.92% (

0.55)

53.08% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.3% (

0.34)

86.7% (

-0.34)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14% (

-0.55)

6.86% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.77% (

-1.48)

25.23% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 6.41%

AZ Alkmaar 80.6%

Draw 12.99%

FC Volendam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.41%	1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.99%	0-2 @ 13.07% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 11.67% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.96% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 4.19% ( -0.35) 1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.87% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.83% Total : 80.6%