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Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
2 - 1
Excelsior

Thy (8'), Garcia McNulty (18'), Velanas (66')
Garcia McNulty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duijvestijn (86')
Nieuwpoort (16'), Baas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
57.42% (-0.785 -0.78)20.91% (0.361 0.36)21.67% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 61.51% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-1.16 -1.16)36.01% (1.166 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-1.287 -1.29)58.1% (1.291 1.29)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.587 -0.59)12.44% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-1.244 -1.24)38.37% (1.249 1.25)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.289 -0.29)29.75% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.354 -0.35)65.81% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 57.42%
    SBV Excelsior 21.67%
    Draw 20.91%
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.099000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-4
PEC Zwolle
Baas (39'), Parrott (84')
Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Ehizibue (82'), Namli (84')
Hamer (12'), van Polen (44')
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Excelsior
Van Duinen (23'), Lam (55')
Hamer (63')

Koolwijk (13'), Bruins (54'), Burnet (60')
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Mokhtar (17')
Sandler (38'), Ehizibue (55')
Van Duinen (57' pen.)
Mattheij (37'), van Duinen (84'), Hadouir (93')
Dec 9, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-2
PEC Zwolle
Van Duinen (48' pen.)
Fortes (26'), van Duinen (32'), Elbers (64'), Caenepeel (90'), Koolwijk (90')
Elbers (83')
Saymak (49'), Namli (65')