MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 03:24:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
2 - 1
Excelsior

FT(HT: 1-0)
Duijvestijn (86')
Nieuwpoort (16'), Baas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Both teams have been struggling for form in recent weeks, both entering into this game without victory for a stretch of matches, and we expect them to extend their search for victory with a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
57.42% (-0.785 -0.78) 20.91% (0.361 0.36) 21.67% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 61.51% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-1.16 -1.16)36.01% (1.166 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-1.287 -1.29)58.1% (1.291 1.29)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.587 -0.59)12.44% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-1.244 -1.24)38.37% (1.249 1.25)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.289 -0.29)29.75% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.354 -0.35)65.81% (0.35900000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 57.42%
    SBV Excelsior 21.67%
    Draw 20.91%
PEC ZwolleDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.099000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

PEC Zwolle
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-4
PEC Zwolle
Baas (39'), Parrott (84')
Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Ehizibue (82'), Namli (84')
Hamer (12'), van Polen (44')
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Excelsior
Van Duinen (23'), Lam (55')
Hamer (63')

Koolwijk (13'), Bruins (54'), Burnet (60')
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Mokhtar (17')
Sandler (38'), Ehizibue (55')
Van Duinen (57' pen.)
Mattheij (37'), van Duinen (84'), Hadouir (93')
Dec 9, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-2
PEC Zwolle
Van Duinen (48' pen.)
Fortes (26'), van Duinen (32'), Elbers (64'), Caenepeel (90'), Koolwijk (90')
Elbers (83')
Saymak (49'), Namli (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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