Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 2
PSV

Baas (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (58'), Bakayoko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
12.66% ( -0.33)	16.74% ( -0.04)	70.6% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.11% (

-0.69)

32.88% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.41% (

-0.8)

54.59% (

0.8)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.97% (

-0.95)

38.02% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21% (

-0.93)

74.79% (

0.94)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.71% (

-0.09)

8.29% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.07% (

-0.24)

28.93% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 12.66%

PSV Eindhoven 70.6%

Draw 16.74%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.66%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.74%	0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 8.11% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.6%