Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Julian Baas 22' yellowcard
  • goal Mauro Junior 58'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 62'

SBV Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 7.00pm
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Nijmegen 3 - 1 PSV
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result

SBV Excelsior 12.66% (-0.33)
Draw 16.74% (-0.04)
PSV Eindhoven 70.6% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84% (-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.11% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 32.88% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 45.41% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 54.59% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 26.65% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 73.35% (+0.70)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 61.97% (-0.96)
Under 0.5 38.02% (+0.96)
Over 1.5 25.21% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 74.79% (+0.94)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 91.71% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 8.29% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 71.07% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 28.93% (+0.25)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 12.66%
Draw 16.74%
PSV Eindhoven 70.6%
SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 3.05% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.59% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.15% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.74%
PSV Eindhoven
0-2 @ 9.77% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 8.11% (+0.19)
0-1 @ 7.85% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.05% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.12)
0-5 @ 2.52% (+0.04)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.08)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.6%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 13' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 17' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 69' goal
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luuk de Jong 12' goal
  • Xavi Simons 78' goal
  • Fabio Silva 82' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 87' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Siebe Horemans 74' goal
  • goal Joey Veerman 2'
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 29'
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 45'
  • goal Xavi Simons 55'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 59'
  • yellowcard Guus Til 68'
  • goal Xavi Simons 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 8'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 24'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 54'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
  • Luuk de Jong 17' goal
  • Robin van der Meer 34' goal
  • Jurgen Mattheij 52' goal
  • Trent Sainsbury 60' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 80' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 89' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 92' goal
  • yellowcard Luigi Bruins 55'
  • yellowcard Robin van der Meer 64'
  • yellowcard Mounir El Hamdaoui 67'
Eredivisie
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
  • Hirving Lozano 17' goal
  • Joshua Brenet 69' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 42'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 69'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vermeulen 82'