Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
0 - 3
AZ

Proper (66'), Sano (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Wit (16'), Pavlidis (58'), Poku (90+5')
de Wit (34'), Pavlidis (49'), Sugawara (74'), de Wit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
39.97% ( -0.69)	23.1% ( 0.08)	36.92% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 64.87% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.56% (

-0.36)

36.43% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.43% (

-0.39)

58.57% (

0.39)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0.45)

18.75% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

-0.76)

50.14% (

0.76)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

0.13)

20.16% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

0.21)

52.44% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

NEC 39.97%

AZ Alkmaar 36.92%

Draw 23.1%

NEC	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.97%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.92%