/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Johan Bakayoko
9'
-
Luuk de Jong
23'
-
Jordan Teze
25'
-
Olivier Boscagli
45'
-
Luuk de Jong
53'
-
Joey Veerman
80'
-
Jesper Uneken
90'+1'
-
Kristijan Belic
13'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
58'
-
Sven Mijnans
73'
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Fpsvdej.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
53.61%
▲
(+0.54)
Draw
22.43%
▼
(-0.20)
AZ Alkmaar
23.96%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
59.17%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.53%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 2.5
40.47%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 3.5
37.15%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 3.5
62.85%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 4.5
19.9%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 4.5
80.1%
▼
(-0.43)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
84.88%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 0.5
15.12%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 1.5
56.32%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 1.5
43.68%
▼
(-0.70)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
69.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
30.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
33.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
66.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
53.61%
Draw
22.43%
AZ Alkmaar
23.96%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1
@
9.76%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 53.61%
1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 53.61%
Draw
1-1
@
10.33%
▼
(-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
6.17%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%