MX23RW : Tuesday, April 23 21:51:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
5 - 0
AZ

De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Belic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Despite their poor run of form, Heracles have been showing the credentials to get something out of this contest. Nevertheless, AZ are also playing with the belief to edge a tight contest, and we expect that to materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.13% (0.264 0.26) 21.45% (-0.139 -0.14) 57.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.997 1)39.34% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (1.035 1.04)61.68% (-1.034 -1.03)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.816 0.82)32.14% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.917 0.92)68.62% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.291 0.29)13.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.575 0.57)40.58% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 21.13%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.41%
    Draw 21.45%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.6% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
19.6%
Draw
8.7%
AZ Alkmaar
71.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV30263195177881
2Feyenoord30226277235472
3FC Twente30186656302660
4AZ AlkmaarAZ30167759352455
5Ajax3013986356748
6NECNijmegen301211759441547
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles30119104439542
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen30106145056-636
11Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
12Almere CityAlmere City30712113048-1833
13PEC Zwolle3088144058-1832
14Heracles3095164062-2232
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30510154464-2025
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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