/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Brian De Keersmaecker
15'
-
Brian De Keersmaecker
19'
-
Justin Hoogma
34'
-
Jizz Hornkamp
38'
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Jizz Hornkamp
40'
-
Mohamed Sankoh
90'
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Mohamed Sankoh
90'+4'
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Kristijan Belic
45'
Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result
Heracles
21.13%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
21.45%
▼
(-0.14)
AZ Alkmaar
57.41%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
58.68%
▲
(+0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.65%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
39.34%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 3.5
38.32%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 3.5
61.68%
▼
(-1.04)
Over 4.5
20.8%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 4.5
79.19%
▼
(-0.81)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
67.86%
▲
(+0.82)
Under 0.5
32.14%
▼
(-0.82)
Over 1.5
31.38%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
68.62%
▼
(-0.92)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
86.48%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
13.52%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
59.42%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
40.58%
▼
(-0.58)
Score analysis
Heracles
21.13%
Draw
21.45%
AZ Alkmaar
57.41%
Heracles
2-1
@
5.6%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
1-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
Draw
1-1
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%
0-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%
Jordy Clasie
45'