Eredivisie
Gameweek
30
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fwaalog.png)
-
Yukinari Sugawara
66'
-
Ibrahim Sadiq
75'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
77'
-
Wouter Goes
83'
-
David Min
3'
-
David Min
42'
-
David Min
67'
-
Chris Lokesa
74'
-
Etienne Vaessen
77'
AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Faz-alkmaar.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
78.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
13.68%
▲
(+0.04)
RKC Waalwijk
8.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.59%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
31.41%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
47.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
52.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
28.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
71.85%
▲
(+0.07)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
93.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
6.45%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
75.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
24.13%
▲
(+0.08)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5
54.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
45.13%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
18.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
81.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
78.07%
Draw
13.68%
RKC Waalwijk
8.24%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
10.93%
▲
(+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
3-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
Draw
1-1
@
6.35%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
2-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
RKC Waalwijk
1-2
@
2.53%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 8.24%
0-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 8.24%
Head to Head
Eredivisie
Gameweek
2
-
Michiel Kramer
41'
-
Michiel Kramer
58'
-
Richonell Margaret
76'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
54'
-
Dani de Wit
59'
-
Ernest Poku
63'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
79'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
30
-
Sven Mijnans
8'
-
Mayckel Lahdo
50'
-
Myron van Brederode
63'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
13
-
Iliass Bel Hassani
32'
-
Zakaria Bakkali
87'
-
Zakaria Bakkali
90'+1'
-
Jesper Karlsson
9'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
30
-
Dani de Wit
45'+1'
-
Finn Stokkers
18'
-
Jurien Gaari
64'
-
Roy Kuijpers
79'
KNVB Beker
-
Lars Nieuwpoort
60'
-
Dani de Wit
8'
-
Vangelis Pavlidis
23'
-
Jesper Karlsson
33'
-
Zakaria Aboukhlal
71'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
87'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
1
-
Michiel Kramer
44'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
75'
-
Yukinari Sugawara
89'