Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
78.07% ( -0.07)	13.68% ( 0.04)	8.24% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.59% (

-0.07)

31.41% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.13% (

-0.08)

52.87% (

0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55% (

-0.03)

6.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.87% (

-0.07)

24.13% (

0.07)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87% (

0.02)

45.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96% (

0.02)

81.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 78.07%

RKC Waalwijk 8.24%

Draw 13.68%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 78.07%	1-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.68%	1-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.24%