Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.