Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 5-0 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.45%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (0.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.