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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 5-0 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.45%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (0.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 90.79% ( | 6.12% ( | 3.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 86.65% ( | 13.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 72.04% ( | 27.97% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.34% ( | 1.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 91.52% ( | 8.48% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% ( | 44.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% ( | 80.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 4-0 @ 8.75% ( 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 5-0 @ 7.17% ( 4-1 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 5-1 @ 5.75% ( 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 6-0 @ 4.89% ( 6-1 @ 3.93% ( 1-0 @ 3.06% ( 7-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-2 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 5-2 @ 2.31% ( 7-1 @ 2.3% ( 6-2 @ 1.57% ( 8-0 @ 1.47% ( 8-1 @ 1.18% ( 7-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 5.38% Total : 90.79% | 1-1 @ 2.45% ( 2-2 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 6.12% | 1-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 3.1% |