Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 2-0 SBV Excelsior
Although Ajax have been inconsistent over a prolonged period of time, the manner of their success over Twente has the potential to flick a switch. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to secure another welcome win on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
78% ( 2.54) | 12.65% ( -1.32) | 9.34% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
