Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Ajax
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Excelsior
  • Devyne Rensch 27' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 36' redcard
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 68' yellowcard
  • Mimeirhel Benita 73' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 89' goal
  • goal Julian Baas 38'
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 53'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 67'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 77'

Ajax vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 3.45pm
Ajax 2 - 1 FC Twente
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 7.00pm
Excelsior 4 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 78% ▲ (+2.55)
Draw 12.65% ▼ (-1.33)
SBV Excelsior 9.34% ▼ (-1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.29% ▲ (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.62% ▲ (+3.14)
Under 2.5 21.38% ▼ (-3.14)
Over 3.5 59.96% ▲ (+4.25)
Under 3.5 40.03% ▼ (-4.25)
Over 4.5 40.5% ▲ (+4.32)
Under 4.5 59.5% ▼ (-4.32)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 95.57% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 4.42% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 81.79% ▲ (+3.10)
Under 1.5 18.21% ▼ (-3.09)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 65.16% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 34.83% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 1.5 28.43% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 71.56% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Ajax 78%
Draw 12.65%
SBV Excelsior 9.34%
Ajax
3-1 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.58)
3-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.65)
4-1 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.42)
4-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.34)
1-0 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.79)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.52)
5-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.45)
4-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.26)
5-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.30)
6-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.39)
6-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.35)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.11)
6-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-86.91)
Other @ 5.43%
Total : 78%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.77)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 12.65%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.37)
0-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.38)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 9.34%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Excelsior
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Ajax
  • Siebe Horemans 45'+1' goal
  • Nikolas Agrafiotis 48' goal
  • goal Brian Brobbey 25'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Excelsior
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Ajax
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 36' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 15'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 45'
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 61'
  • goal Devyne Rensch 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Ajax
Oct 16, 2022 7.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Jorge Sanchez 15' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 26' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 44' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 59' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 65' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 75' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 81' goal
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Ajax
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
6
2
HT : 3 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
Excelsior
  • Noussair Mazraoui 4' yellowcard
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 10' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 37' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 40' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 60' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 65' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 75' goal
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 32'
  • goal Mounir El Hamdaoui 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 43'
  • yellowcard Mounir El Hamdaoui 49'
  • goal Jeffry Fortes 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Excelsior
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
1
7
HT : 0 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Ajax
  • Jeffry Fortes 25' yellowcard
  • Dogucan Haspolat 25' yellowcard
  • Herve Matthys 43' yellowcard
  • Ali Messaoud 52' goal
  • goal Donny van de Beek 31'
  • goal Lasse Schone 44'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 48'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 58'
  • goal Jerdy Schouten 71' (OG)
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 79'
  • goal David Neres 87'
Eredivisie
Excelsior
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Ajax
  • Matthijs de Ligt 20' goal
  • goal Justin Kluivert 48'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 53'

Form Data

Ajax 2 - 1 FC Twente
Feyenoord 6 - 0 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 Ajax
Sparta 2 - 2 Ajax
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Ajax
Excelsior 4 - 0 Volendam
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 Excelsior
Excelsior 0 - 2 PSV
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
AZ 4 - 0 Excelsior