/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
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Josip Sutalo
5'
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Sivert Mannsverk
35'
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Brian Brobbey
59'
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Steven Bergwijn
81'
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Ricky van Wolfswinkel
31'
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Mathias Kjolo
32'
Ajax vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
Result
Ajax
46.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
22.56%
▲
(+0.03)
FC Twente
31.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
65.16%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.66%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
35.34%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
42.63%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
57.37%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
24.29%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
75.71%
▲
(+0.13)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
84.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
15.88%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
54.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
45.1%
▲
(+0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
77.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
22.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
43.88%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
56.12%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Ajax
46.04%
Draw
22.56%
FC Twente
31.4%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.03%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 46.04%
1-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 46.04%
Draw
1-1
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
2-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
FC Twente
1-2
@
7.31%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%
0-1 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%