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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
46.04% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() | 31.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.66% (![]() | 35.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.63% (![]() | 57.37% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% (![]() | 15.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% (![]() | 45.1% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% (![]() | 22.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% (![]() | 56.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 7.31% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |