Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.