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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lille

Nantes
1 - 2
Lille

Abline (54')
Mohamed (33'), Lafont (44'), Pallois (60'), Sissoko (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
David (8', 11')
Zhegrova (44'), Bentaleb (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nantes
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawLille
17.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)22.19% (0.0040000000000013 0)59.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.22% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 17.86%
    Lille 59.94%
    Draw 22.19%
NantesDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.8%
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.86%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 11.59%
0-2 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.94%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lille

Nantes
16.7%
Draw
19.0%
Lille
64.3%
42
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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