Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.