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Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Montpellier

Le Havre
0 - 2
Montpellier


Nego (31'), Casimir (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
38.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)25.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)36.03% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (0.16999999999999 0.17)48.69% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (0.155 0.15)70.8% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.053000000000011 0.05)24.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.57% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.125 0.13)26.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.171 0.17)61.31% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 38.31%
    Montpellier HSC 36.03%
    Draw 25.65%
Le HavreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Montpellier

Le Havre
48.1%
Draw
35.2%
Montpellier HSC
16.7%
54
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Montpellier
2-2
Le Havre
Adams (58', 60')
Jullien (48')
Lloris (5'), Grandsir (90')
Sangante (55'), Targhalline (65')