Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Loic Nego 31' yellowcard
  • Josue Casimir 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Becir Omeragic 70'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 70'
  • goal Jordan Ferri 72'
  • goal Christopher Jullien 80'

Le Havre vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
Clermont 2 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mohamed Bayo

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Montpellier 2 - 6 PSG
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Le Havre 38.31% (-0.05)
Draw 25.66% (-0.04)
Montpellier HSC 36.03% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.38% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.31% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 48.69% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 29.2% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 70.8% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 14.12% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 85.87% (-0.11)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.94% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.57% (-0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 73.78% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 26.21% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 38.69% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 61.31% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Le Havre 38.31%
Draw 25.65%
Montpellier HSC 36.03%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.03%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Christopher Jullien 48' yellowcard
  • Akor Adams 58' goal
  • Akor Adams 60' goal
  • goal Gautier Lloris 5'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 55'
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 65'
  • goal Samuel Grandsir 90'