Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
2 - 1
Le Havre

Cham (12', 45+5' pen.)
Rashani (30'), Keita (31'), Carpini (47'), Gastien (47')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ayew (45+1')
Targhalline (34'), Lloris (45+3'), Sangante (58'), Kechta (90+7')
Targhalline (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Le Havre
38.35% ( 0.13)	26.83% ( -0.41)	34.82% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.25% (

1.65)

53.75% (

-1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.77% (

1.37)

75.23% (

-1.37)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.86)

27.27% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

1.1)

62.7% (

-1.1)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

0.99)

29.37% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

1.2)

65.35% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Clermont 38.34%

Le Havre 34.83%

Draw 26.83%

Clermont	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.34%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.83%