Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.