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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lyon

Lille
3 - 4
Lyon

Diakite (21', 85'), Zhegrova (37')
Gomes (28'), Arnar Haraldsson (80'), Yoro (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benrahma (65'), Fofana (82'), Lacazette (88'), Balde (90+2')
Nuamah (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawLyon
54.27% (-1.21 -1.21)22.42% (0.301 0.3)23.31% (0.904 0.9)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (-0.351 -0.35)41.13% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-0.359 -0.36)63.53% (0.353 0.35)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.518 -0.52)15.13% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.985 -0.98)43.7% (0.98099999999999 0.98)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (0.593 0.59)31.2% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (0.686 0.69)67.54% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.27%
    Lyon 23.31%
    Draw 22.42%
LilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.173 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Lille vs Lyon

Lille
73.9%
Draw
15.7%
Lyon
10.4%
134
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 5.30pm
Round of 16
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Orban (40'), Cherki (47')
Tagliafico (67'), Caleta-Car (68')
Alexsandro (53')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
0-2
Lille

Balde (66'), Akouokou (72')
David (27'), Santos (32')
Gudmundsson (13'), Santos (32')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
3-3
Lyon
David (46', 61' pen., 79' pen.)
Barcola (64'), Lacazette (83', 89')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2023 5.15pm
Round of 16
Lyon
2-2
Lille
(Aggregate 2-2 | Lyon win 4-2 on penalties)
Cherki (8'), Lacazette (21')
David (29' pen.), Zhegrova (64')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
1-0
Lille
Lacazette (74')
> Preview