Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.33% ( | 23.28% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( | 37.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( | 59.58% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( | 18.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( | 50.53% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( | 53.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.39% |