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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Monaco

Lyon
3 - 2
Monaco

Lacazette (22'), Benrahma (26'), Fofana (84')
Benrahma (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ben Yedder (1', 60')
Minamino (25'), Ouattara (47'), Diatta (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Lille
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMonaco
40.33% (-0.108 -0.11)23.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.39% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 64.14% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)37.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-0.1 -0.1)59.58% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)18.99% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.144 -0.14)50.53% (0.143 0.14)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)53.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 40.33%
    Monaco 36.39%
    Draw 23.27%
LyonDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.39%

How you voted: Lyon vs Monaco

Lyon
34.4%
Draw
23.4%
Monaco
42.2%
64
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Monaco
0-1
Lyon

Singo (29')
Jeffinho (85')
Mata (31'), Henrique (90+5')
May 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lyon
3-1
Monaco
Lacazette (38'), Caqueret (57'), Cherki (78')
Ben Yedder (2' pen.)
Golovin (31'), Jakobs (55'), Vanderson (63')
Sep 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
2-1
Lyon
Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Lucas (2'), Ben Yedder (27')
Maripan (69')

Dembele (64'), Boateng (69')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lyon
2-0
Monaco
Toko Ekambi (75' pen.), Denayer (90')
Caqueret (77')

Disasi (73'), Lucas (76')