Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 2
Nice

Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Lille
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Nice
47.19% ( -1.64)	23.78% ( 0.33)	29.02% ( 1.32)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

-0.63)

42.55% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

-0.63)

64.95% (

0.63)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-0.88)

18.22% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.75% (

-1.52)

49.25% (

1.52)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.6)

27.6% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

0.76)

63.13% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Lille 47.19%

Nice 29.02%

Draw 23.78%

Lille	Draw	Nice
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.58% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.02%