Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lorient |
59.46% ( 0.01) | 21.76% ( 0) | 18.78% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( -0.02) | 44.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% ( -0.02) | 66.48% ( 0.02) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.55% ( -0) | 14.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.59% ( -0.01) | 42.41% ( 0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( -0.03) | 37.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% ( -0.03) | 74.05% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |