Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
3 - 0
Lorient

Sanson (22'), Boga (53'), Guessand (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bamba (7'), Kari (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lorient
59.46% ( 0.01)	21.76% ( 0)	18.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

-0.02)

44.1% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

-0.02)

66.48% (

0.02)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0)

14.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.59% (

-0.01)

42.41% (

0.01)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

-0.03)

37.26% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

-0.03)

74.05% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nice 59.45%

Lorient 18.78%

Draw 21.75%

Nice	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.78%