Ligue 1
Gameweek
28
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-
Jordan Ferri
14'
-
Teji Savanier
42'
-
Teji Savanier
55'
-
Wahbi Khazri
61'
-
Yann Karamoh
90'
-
Julien Ponceau
15'
-
Darlin Yongwa
44'
-
Formose Mendy
45'+1'
-
Nathaniel Adjei
52'
-
Mohamed Bamba
59'
-
Panos Katseris
90'+5'
Montpellier HSC vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result
Montpellier HSC
45.51%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
23.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Lorient
30.92%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
61.16%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.51%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
40.48%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
37.14%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
62.86%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
19.89%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
80.11%
▲
(+0.14)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
81.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
18.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
50.99%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
49%
▲
(+0.06)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
74.66%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
25.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
39.88%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
60.12%
▲
(+0.21)
Score analysis
Montpellier HSC
45.51%
Draw
23.56%
Lorient
30.92%
Montpellier HSC
2-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.51%
1-0 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1
@
10.75%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
2-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
Lorient
1-2
@
7.39%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 30.92%
0-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 30.92%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
7
-
Julien Ponceau
20'
-
Montassar Talbi
33'
-
Akor Adams
30'
-
Maxime Esteve
61'
-
Teji Savanier
73'
-
Akor Adams
89'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
35
-
Faitout Maouassa
90'+4'
-
Romain Faivre
68'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
16
-
Teji Savanier
3'
-
Elye Wahi
22'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
25
-
Julien Laporte
31'
-
Bonke Innocent
47'
-
Teji Savanier
56'
-
Ambroise Oyongo
60'
-
Arnaud Souquet
61'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
3
-
Teji Savanier
50'
-
Stephy Mavididi
58'
-
Andy Delort
83'
-
Dimitry Bertaud
21'
(OG)
-
Fabien Lemoine
49'
-
Thomas Monconduit
67'
-
Houboulang Mendes
84'
-
Houboulang Mendes
86'
-
Jerome Hergault
87'
-
Jerome Hergault
90'+1'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
28
-
Stephy Mavididi
28'
-
Jordan Ferri
61'
-
Pedro Mendes
70'
-
Adrian Grbic
9'
-
Fabien Lemoine
36'
-
Trevoh Chalobah
63'
-
Andrew Gravillon
87'