MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 10:36:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nice

Marseille
2 - 2
Nice

Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

Marseille have been on a poor run but they remain solid on home soil, only behind two sides for points won at home. Nice have been inconsistent in the past two months and have not looked like the same side that started the league. Considering these factors, we think that this will be a close affair and we are expecting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
48.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.59% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)48.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.032 0.03)70.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.02600000000001 0.03)32.65% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 48.56%
    Nice 26.59%
    Draw 24.84%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
59.3%
Draw
25.6%
Nice
15.1%
86
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-1
Nice
Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')
Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nice
4-1
Marseille
Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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