Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Toulouse
Apr 21, 2024 6.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Marseille
  • Moussa Diarra 39' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 45'+2' goal
  • Yann Gboho 82' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 33'
  • goal Jean Onana 38'
  • yellowcard Azzedine Ounahi 47'
  • goal Faris Moumbagna 90'+6'

Toulouse vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 8.00pm
Rennes 1 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2024 8.00pm
Lille 3 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Toulouse 34.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.61%
Marseille 39.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.13%
Under 4.5 85.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 72.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Toulouse 34.42%
Draw 25.6%
Marseille 39.97%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
Marseille
0-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 39.97%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Marseille
Sep 17, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Toulouse
  • Joaquin Correa 64' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 89' yellowcard
  • Marcelino 80'+80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 4'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Desler 45'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 77'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Restes 79'
  • yellowcard Mamady Bangre 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Toulouse
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Marseille
  • Thijs Dallinga 3' goal
  • Ado Onaiwu 87' goal
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 52'
  • goal Cengiz Under 59'
  • goal Nuno Tavares 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Marseille
Dec 29, 2022 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Toulouse
  • Valentin Rongier 13' goal
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen 41' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 51' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 61' goal
  • Cengiz Under 80' goal
  • Nuno Tavares 82' goal
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Marseille
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orange Velodrome
Toulouse
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 15' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 51' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Victor Makengo 61'
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Toulouse
Nov 24, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Marseille
  • Ibrahim Sangare 32' yellowcard
  • Steven Moreira 41' redcard
  • Nicolas Isimat-Mirin 63' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 70'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 76'
  • goal Nemanja Radonjic 79'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radonjic 80'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
Toulouse
May 18, 2019 8.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
Marseille
  • Christopher Jullien 22' yellowcard
  • Aaron Leya Iseka 26' goal
  • Max Gradel 61' goal
  • goal Morgan Sanson 29'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 39'
  • goal Hiroki Sakai 50'
  • yellowcard Adil Rami 59'
  • goal Clinton N'Jie 76'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 90'

Form Data

Rennes 1 - 2 Toulouse
Toulouse 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Clermont 0 - 3 Toulouse
Toulouse 2 - 3 Lyon
Le Havre 1 - 0 Toulouse
Toulouse 2 - 1 Nice
Marseille 1 - 0 Benfica
Benfica 2 - 1 Marseille
Lille 3 - 1 Marseille
Marseille 0 - 2 PSG
Rennes 2 - 0 Marseille
Villarreal 3 - 1 Marseille