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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Marseille

Toulouse
2 - 2
Marseille

Nicolaisen (45+2'), Gboho (82')
Diarra (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onana (38'), Moumbagna (90+6')
Murillo (33'), Ounahi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMarseille
34.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.61%39.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.00099999999999056 0)24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 34.42%
    Marseille 39.97%
    Draw 25.6%
ToulouseDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse
48.1%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
33.3%
27
Head to Head
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Toulouse
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Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')
> Preview
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Gameweek 24
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Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
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Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
> Preview
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1-0
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Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
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Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
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