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Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Marseille

Toulouse
2 - 2
Marseille

Nicolaisen (45+2'), Gboho (82')
Diarra (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onana (38'), Moumbagna (90+6')
Murillo (33'), Ounahi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Marseille

With both sides fairly equal in terms of league position, we are expecting a close match between Toulouse and Marseille at Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday. Les Violets have been afforded longer to prepare for this clash due to Les Olympiens' European exploits, and we reckon that the hosts will be good enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMarseille
34.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.61%39.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.00099999999999056 0)24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 34.42%
    Marseille 39.97%
    Draw 25.6%
ToulouseDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse
48.1%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
33.3%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
0-0
Toulouse
Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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