Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
| 35.4% ( | 25.94% ( | 38.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.02% ( | 49.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.04% ( | 71.96% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( | 27.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( | 62.6% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( | 25.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( | 60.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66% |