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Marseille
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Benfica

Marseille
1 - 0
Benfica

Moumbagna (79')
Mbemba (45+2'), Harit (89'), Gigot (89')
FT
(aet)

Silva (38'), di Maria (60'), Kokcu (109'), Luis (113')
Marseille win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Marseille hold their nerve to beat Benfica 4-2 on penalties to set up a Europa League semi-final clash against Atalanta BC.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Moreirense
Sunday, April 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%).

Result
MarseilleDrawBenfica
27.6% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 23.06%49.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.13% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (0.013000000000005 0.01)62.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 27.6%
    Benfica 49.35%
    Draw 23.05%
MarseilleDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 49.35%

How you voted: Marseille vs Benfica

Marseille
48.1%
Benfica
51.9%
183
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Benfica
2-1
Marseille
Silva (16'), Di Maria (52')
Neres (18')
rhs 2.0
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