Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 0
Chaves

Neves (68')
Otamendi (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pius (25'), Souza (31'), Hernandez (45'), Ribeiro (56'), Guimaraes (62'), Sousa (64'), Guzzo (65'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Chaves
82.35% ( -0.05)	11.58% ( 0.03)	6.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.42% (

-0.06)

29.58% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.32% (

-0.08)

50.68% (

0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.69% (

-0.02)

5.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.11% (

-0.06)

20.88% (

0.06)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.51% (

49.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.7% (

84.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Benfica 82.36%

Chaves 6.06%

Draw 11.58%

Benfica	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.08% 4-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.79% 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% 6-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) 7-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 82.36%	1-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 11.58%	1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 6.06%