Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Chaves

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Chaves

Tavares (45+5')
Vieira (27'), Santos (41'), Genezio (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hernandez (7')
Guimaraes (26'), Essugo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
37.78% (0.1 0.1)26.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)35.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)53.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.055000000000007 0.06)27.35% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.073 0.07)62.81% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.7% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)64.53% (0.080000000000013 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 37.77%
    Chaves 35.5%
    Draw 26.71%
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 37.77%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.5%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Chaves

Estrela Amadora
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Chaves
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Chaves
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Hernandez (85'), Pinho (90+4')
Nogueira (33'), Guimaraes (42'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (51'), Vitoria (72')
Cordeiro (45+1'), Jaba (70')
Mansur (36'), Genezio (56'), Gaspar (90+10')
Mansur (90+7')