Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 1
Farense

Hernandez (53' pen.)
Nwakali (24'), Victor (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (35')
Velho (51'), Muscat (60'), Falcao (65'), Isidoro (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Chaves
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	SC Farense
48.59% ( -0.29)	24.21% ( -0.01)	27.2% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 56.35% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

0.26)

45.69% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

0.25)

68.01% (

-0.25)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

-0.02)

18.89% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63% (

-0.02)

50.37% (

0.02)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.36)

30.53% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.43)

66.75% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Chaves 48.59%

SC Farense 27.2%

Draw 24.21%

Chaves	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.59%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.2%