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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Chaves

Braga
1 - 1
Chaves

Zalazar (52')
Jorge (28'), Ruiz (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitoria (64')
Ribeiro (27'), Guzzo (33'), Vitoria (70'), Correia (90+7'), Phete (90+10')
Vitoria (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawChaves
64.46% (0.431 0.43)20.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.52% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-1.005 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.828 -0.83)42.06% (0.826 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-0.835 -0.84)64.46% (0.835 0.84)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.13 -0.13)12.32% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.271 -0.27)38.12% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-1.058 -1.06)39.93% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.985 -0.98)76.59% (0.982 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.45%
    Chaves 15.52%
    Draw 20.02%
BragaDrawChaves
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.94% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Chaves

Braga
90.5%
Draw
6.3%
Chaves
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-4
Braga
Hernandez (43', 53')
Pinho (3'), Sanca (67')
Nogueira (80')
Bruma (16'), Horta (58'), Banza (81'), Pizzi (90+6')
Niakate (2'), Fonte (90+11')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Chaves
1-2
Braga
Juninho (42')
Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Braga
0-1
Chaves
Hernandez (2')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')