Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 6pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Chaves

Madson (73')
Pinto (38'), Antonisse (43'), Castro (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pius (11'), Fernandes (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Chaves
51.61% ( -0.17)	24.26% ( 0.08)	24.13% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

-0.23)

48.42% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

-0.22)

70.55% (

0.22)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0.15)

18.75% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

-0.26)

50.14% (

0.26)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-0.05)

34.48% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.05)

71.19% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 51.61%

Chaves 24.13%

Draw 24.26%

Moreirense	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.13%