Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 0
Moreirense

Ruiz (8')
Oliveira (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Franco (34'), Ofori (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Chaves
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Moreirense
62.18% ( 4.83)	21.36% ( -1.52)	16.45% ( -3.31)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78% (

1.32)

46.21% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.49% (

1.23)

68.5% (

-1.24)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.7% (

2.02)

14.29% (

-2.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.9% (

3.8)

42.1% (

-3.81)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

-3.06)

41.25% (

3.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

-2.83)

77.78% (

2.82)

Score Analysis

Braga 62.18%

Moreirense 16.45%

Draw 21.35%

Braga	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.91) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.71) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.18%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.35%	0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.45%