Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 1
Estoril

Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gomes (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Rangers
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
82.4% ( -0.39)	11.46% ( 0.23)	6.14% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 49.05% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.56% (

-0.58)

28.43% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.72% (

-0.72)

49.28% (

0.71)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.91% (

-0.17)

5.08% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.77% (

-0.52)

20.23% (

0.52)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.68% (

-0)

48.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.53% (

-0)

83.46%

Score Analysis

Benfica 82.38%

Estoril Praia 6.14%

Draw 11.46%

Benfica	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 10.82% 4-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.93% Total : 82.38%	1-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.8% Total : 11.46%	1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.42% Total : 6.14%