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Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Estoril

Boavista
2 - 1
Estoril

Sasso (15'), Bozenik (29')
Makouta (48'), Perez (61'), Lourenco (85'), Camara (87'), Goncalves (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marques (54')
Ndiaye (17'), Seabra (18'), Zanocelo (70'), Carlos (86'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
46.43% (0.157 0.16)24.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.2% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (-0.12 -0.12)45.11% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (-0.116 -0.12)67.46% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.029999999999994 0.03)51.45% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)28.78% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)64.63% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Boavista 46.43%
    Estoril Praia 29.2%
    Draw 24.36%
BoavistaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 46.43%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Boavista vs Estoril

Boavista
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Estoril Praia
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Estoril
1-2
Boavista
Marques (34')
Marques (70'), Alvaro (84'), Gomes (85')
Malheiro (4'), Morais (41')
Makouta (52'), Petit (66+66')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 31
Boavista
1-0
Estoril
Mangas (50')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Estoril
2-1
Boavista
Araujo (49'), Gouveia (76')
Njie (4')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Estoril
2-3
Boavista
Vital (6'), Acevedo (54' pen.)
Gamboa (60'), Coly (88')
Musa (20'), Abascal (49'), Santos (85')
Santos (51'), Njie (66'), Sauer (88'), Porozo (89')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 7
Boavista
1-1
Estoril
Sauer (24' pen.)
Gorre (45+2'), Ferreira (76'), Beiranvand (90+6')
Franco (71')
Chiquinho (68'), Joaozinho (87')
> Preview