Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
46.43% ( 0.16) | 24.37% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( -0.12) | 45.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.54% ( -0.12) | 67.46% ( 0.12) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.03) | 51.45% ( -0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( -0.17) | 28.78% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.37% ( -0.21) | 64.63% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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