Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 5, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Boavista

Moreira (45'), Moreira (45+1'), Neto (60'), Cardoso (75')

Sasso (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
36.58% ( 0.01)	26.65% ( 0.2)	36.76% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 52.05% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.06% (

-0.86)

52.93% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.46% (

-0.74)

74.54% (

0.73)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-0.41)

27.9% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

-0.52)

63.51% (

0.51)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.54)

27.8% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-0.69)

63.38% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 36.58%

Boavista 36.76%

Draw 26.65%

Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.58%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.76%