Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 29, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
8 - 0
Casa Pia

Coates (14', 81'), Gyokeres (23', 32' pen.), Goncalves (25'), Trincao (43', 90+4'), Catamo (64')
Hjulmand (38')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Nunes (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Casa Pia
84.62% ( -0.01)	10.58% ( 0.08)	4.81% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.04% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.33% (

-0.88)

30.67% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.01% (

-1.06)

52% (

1.07)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.89% (

-0.16)

5.11% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.69% (

-0.48)

20.32% (

0.49)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.36% (

-0.95)

54.64% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.34% (

-0.59)

87.67% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 84.62%

Casa Pia 4.81%

Draw 10.58%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.25% Total : 84.62%	1-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.58%	0-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 4.81%