Primeira Liga
Gameweek
19
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Sebastian Coates
14'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
23'
-
Pedro Goncalves
25'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
32'
-
Morten Hjulmand
38'
-
Francisco Trincao
43'
-
Geny Catamo
64'
-
Sebastian Coates
81'
-
Francisco Trincao
90'+4'
-
Joao Nunes
13'
Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Fruben-amorim.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Sporting Lisbon
84.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
10.58%
▲
(+0.09)
Casa Pia
4.81%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
43.04%
▼
(-0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.33%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 2.5
30.67%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 3.5
48.01%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 3.5
52%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 4.5
28.93%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 4.5
71.07%
▲
(+0.96)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
94.89%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
5.11%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
79.69%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
20.32%
▲
(+0.49)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
45.36%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 0.5
54.64%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 1.5
12.34%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
87.67%
▲
(+0.60)
Score analysis
Sporting Lisbon
84.62%
Draw
10.58%
Casa Pia
4.81%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
@
12.35%
▲
(+0.35)
3-0 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.23)
4-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.09)
6-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.08)
7-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 84.62%
3-0 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.23)
4-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.09)
6-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.08)
7-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 84.62%
Draw
1-1
@
5.02%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 10.58%
0-0 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 10.58%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
1.69%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 4.81%
1-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 4.81%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
2
-
Fernando Varela
55'
-
Beni Mukendi
45'+12'
-
Clayton
58'
-
Neto
90'
-
Andre Geraldes
90'+8'
-
Paulinho
3'
-
Paulinho
61'
-
Goncalo Inacio
72'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
27
-
Rafael Martins
7'
-
Yuki Soma
45'+1'
-
Felippe Cardoso
62'
-
Francisco Trincao
1'
-
Francisco Trincao
39'
-
Pedro Goncalves
48'
-
Francisco Trincao
85'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
10
-
Paulinho
57'
-
Nuno Santos
59'
-
Pedro Goncalves
65'
-
Clayton
43'