Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.