Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
3 - 3
Estoril

Essende (26', 36'), Lebedenko (90+5')
Essende (26'), Pereira (88'), Lebedenko (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marques (83'), Zanocelo (85'), Guitane (90+3')
Mangala (16'), Figueira (90+5'), Tavares (90+3'), Parra (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Estoril Praia
37.25% ( 1.02)	24.55% ( 0.24)	38.21% ( -1.26)

Both teams to score 59.42% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.48% (

-1.08)

43.52% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08% (

-1.07)

65.92% (

1.07)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

0.05)

23.17% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

0.08)

57.04% (

-0.07)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-1.1)

22.67% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

-1.67)

56.32% (

1.67)

Score Analysis

Vizela 37.25%

Estoril Praia 38.21%

Draw 24.54%

Vizela	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21%