Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 2
Rangers

(Benfica win 3-2 on aggregate)

di Maria (45+2' pen.), Goldson (67' og.)
di Maria (34'), Bah (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lawrence (7'), Sterling (45+5')
Sterling (27'), Butland (45+2'), Yilmaz (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Benfica and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rangers

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rangers
49.17% ( -0.18)	22.13% ( 0.05)	28.7% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12% (

-0.17)

34.88% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14% (

-0.2)

56.85% (

0.2)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

-0.12)

14.61% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

-0.24)

42.71% (

0.24)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.01)

23.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.01)

58.15% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Benfica 49.17%

Rangers 28.7%

Draw 22.13%

Benfica	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.7%