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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Rangers

Armstrong (11' pen.)
Mayo (54'), Findlay (81'), Watson (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavernier (55'), Lawrence (59')
Barisic (34'), Goldson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
17.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)60.29% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.8% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.012 -0.01)16.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 17.19%
    Rangers 60.29%
    Draw 22.51%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.31%
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.19%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
18.0%
Draw
4.9%
Rangers
77.0%
61
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
McCausland (41'), Sima (45'), Cantwell (61')
Cantwell (15')
Armstrong (59' pen.)
McKenzie (30'), Watson (41'), Wright (63')
Aug 5, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
1-0
Rangers
Lyons (65')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Rangers
3-1
Kilmarnock
Goldson (6'), Sakala (25'), Tavernier (45' pen.)
Dorsett (60')
Jan 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Kilmarnock
2-3
Rangers
Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')