Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.